Air Force vs. San Diego State odds: College football picks, predictions from model on 64-52 roll
Expect plenty of pulse-pounding drama Friday when the San Diego State Aztecs host the Air Force Falcons at 9 p.m. ET. The Aztecs are on a roll, having won four straight since a Week 1 loss to Stanford, while the Falcons snapped a three-game losing skid with a decisive 35-7 victory over Navy. Now, these Mountain West foes meet in an important early conference matchup. Last season, San Diego State rolled into Colorado Springs and walked away with a 28-24 victory. For this game, the Aztecs opened as 8.5-point home favorites and are laying 10.5 in the latest San Diego State vs. Air Force odds. The over-under, or total number of points Vegas believes will be scored, has dropped from 44.5 to 44.
Before you make any San Diego State vs. Air Force picks, check out what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. The advanced computer model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen massive returns. In the past three years, this proprietary computer model has generated a jaw-dropping $4,210 profit for $100 bettors.
The model made some huge calls in Week 6, including recommending Texas (+226) on the money line in its massive upset of No. 7 Oklahoma. It finished the week on an 8-2 run on all of its college football picks, and when it comes to top-rated picks, it is now an impressive 64-52 on the year. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Air Force vs. San Diego State 10,000 times to produce a strong against-the-spread pick that hits in well over 60 percent of simulations. This pick is available only at SportsLine.
The model knows the Aztecs aren’t flashy on offense. In their five games, they have yet to exceed 28 points. But defensively, they’re one of the conference’s most stingy squads, allowing 17 points per game during that stretch. On offense, San Diego State will depend on quarterback Ryan Agnew to lead it to another win. The junior was 8 for 15 for 113 yards last week against Boise State in a 19-13 win.
Just because San Diego State has played tight defense doesn’t mean it will cover a double-digit spread Friday.
Air Force put the defensive screws to Navy last week, holding the Midshipmen to nine first downs and 178 total yards. And on offense, running back Cole Fagan leads Air Force with 252 rushing yards and has scored once. His backfield cohort, Kadin Remsberg, has 224 yards for the season and one score. Air Force has the ability to grind out games and keep the score close.